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If you are wondering whether Woodside Energy Group is fairly priced or offering value right now, you are in the right place to unpack what the current share price might be telling you.
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The stock last closed at A$25.06, with returns of 3.0% over the past 7 days, 5.9% over the past 30 days, 5.9% year to date, 10.0% over 1 year, a 13.0% decline over 3 years, and 40.6% over 5 years.
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Recent moves in the share price sit against an ongoing stream of news around large energy producers, including discussion of long term demand for oil and gas and how companies position their portfolios for future projects. For Woodside, this context helps frame how investors think about its earnings resilience, project pipeline and exposure to energy markets over time.
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On our valuation checks, Woodside Energy Group scores 5 out of 6. You can see the breakdown of that score here. This sets us up to compare different valuation approaches next, before finishing with a broader way to think about what valuation really means for you as a shareholder.
A Discounted Cash Flow model takes estimates of the cash a company may generate in future, then discounts those cash flows back to today to arrive at an estimated value per share.
For Woodside Energy Group, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is $1,174.10m. Analysts provide free cash flow estimates out to 2027, with Simply Wall St extrapolating further to build a 10 year view. By 2035, the projected free cash flow in this model is $1,981.13m. Each year in between is discounted back to today using the DCF framework.
Putting those cash flows together, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of $33.71 per share. Compared to the recent share price of A$25.06, this implies an intrinsic discount of about 25.7%. This indicates that, within the assumptions of this model, the shares are trading below the modelled value.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Woodside Energy Group is undervalued by 25.7%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 871 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.



